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Anders Larson

FSA, MAAA
Principal & Consulting Actuary
Indianapolis, IN, US

Anders Larson is a principal and consulting actuary with Milliman’s Indianapolis office. Anders provides actuarial consulting services to state Medicaid agencies, commercial and Medicaid health plans, self-funded groups, and provider organizations such as ACOs.

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Experience

His experience includes but is not limited to:

  • Financial projections
  • Capitation rate setting
  • Fiscal estimates for proposed policy change
  • Benchmarking of experience
  • Analysis of shared risk agreements
  • Incurred but not reported reserve estimates
  • Research studies using large public data sources

Since 2012, he has been significantly involved with provider payment reform and value-based reimbursement, working on behalf of private payers, state governments, ACOs, and other provider organizations. He has a wide range of experience with predictive analytics applications, from traditional risk adjustment models to modern machine learning algorithms. From 2015 to 2018, Anders has served on the Society of Actuaries’ Predictive Analytics and Futurism section council. He was the section’s chair in 2018.

Publications and Presentations
  • Ten questions providers should be asking about their value-based contracts and the COVID-19 pandemic. Milliman white paper (May 2020).
  • Considerations for predictive modeling in insurance applications. Society of Actuaries Research Report (June 2019).
  • “Pathways to Success” MSSP Final rule: Winners and losers. Milliman white paper (February 2019).
  • Seven key challenges for Medicaid states considering alternative payment models. Milliman white paper (January 2019).
  • “Pathways to Success” MSSP Proposed rule: Assignment changes to identification of E&M Services in skilled nursing facilities. Milliman white paper (October 2018).
  • “Pathways to Success” MSSP Proposed rule: Winners and losers. Milliman white paper (October 2018).
  • What predictive analytics can tell us about key drivers of MSSP results. Milliman white paper (September 2017).
  • Performance of skilled nursing facilities for the Medicare population. Milliman white paper (December 2016).
  • Benefits Perspectives: Introduction to shared savings arrangements and ACOs. Milliman white paper (September 2015).
  • Challenges with measuring savings in shared savings arrangements. Milliman white paper (March 2015).

Industry Presentations

  • Identifying the Best VBC Model/Track for Your Organization, NAACOS 2021 Boot Camp (January 2021).
  • Using member-level predictive models to calculate IBNR reserves, Actuaries Club of the Southwest Spring Conference (June 2019).
  • Critical Point podcast, Episode 11: Shea and Anders talk blockchain (Part 3): Insurance applications. Milliman podcast (May 2019).
  • Managing ACO Composition to Maximize Shared Savings, NAACOS Spring 2019 Conference (April 2019).
  • Seven key challenges for Medicaid states considering alternative payment models. Milliman webinar (February 2019).
  • Critical Point podcast, Episode 3: Shea and Anders talk blockchain (Part 1) Milliman podcast (January 2019).
  • Critical Point podcast, Episode 9: Shea and Anders talk blockchain (Part 2) Milliman podcast (October 2018).
  • Becoming Accountable – Achieving Success in Population Health (panelist), Indiana Healthcare Executives Network Program (February 2018).
  • Innovative Uses of Risk Adjustment, Society of Actuaries Health Meeting (June 2017).
  • Measuring and Benchmarking SNF Performance Metrics for ACOs and MA Plans, MCOL Webinar (March 2017).
  • Case Studies in Value-Based Care, Society of Actuaries Health Meeting (June 2015).
  • What Do ACOs Really Care About?, Tri-State Actuarial Club Annual Conference (September 2014).

Professional Designations

  • Fellow, Society of Actuaries
  • Member, American Academy of Actuaries

Education

  • BA, Mathematics, Wake Forest University

Publications

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